MarkMyCall

@example_quietquant

Quiet Quant (example)

74%hit rate (25 of 34)
57%rank score (95% lower bound)
0.20Brier (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip)
−4 ptssays vs hits

Calibration

0%50%100%50%75%100%how sure they soundedhow often it happened
Each dot is a group of calls made at similar confidence; bigger dots hold more calls. On the dashed line, sounding 80% sure meant being right 80% of the time. Below it: overconfident.

By topic

TopicResolvedHit rateBrier
crypto2171%0.19
equities1377%0.20

Calls

PostedCallSoundedVerdict
LINK ≥ $25.30 by 27 Feb 202780%Open
ETH ≤ $1,360 by 15 Feb 202770%Open
TSLA ≥ $504 by 9 Nov 202660%Open
SOL ≥ $195 by 13 Oct 202670%Miss
NVDA ≥ $295 by 8 Oct 202670%Miss
LINK ≥ $17.30 by 18 Oct 202680%Hit
SOL ≥ $184 by 4 Oct 202670%Miss
TSLA ≤ $276 by 1 Oct 202670%Hit
TSLA ≥ $648 by 15 Sept 202680%Hit
TSLA ≤ $160 by 4 Sept 202670%Hit
DOGE ≤ $0.108 by 24 Aug 202670%Hit
LINK ≥ $17.30 by 7 Aug 202660%Hit
TSLA ≥ $648 by 26 Jul 202670%Hit
TSLA ≤ $144 by 1 Aug 202660%Hit
TSLA ≤ $232 by 26 Aug 202680%Hit
ETH ≥ $3,700 by 18 Jun 202670%Hit
LINK ≤ $6.15 by 4 Jun 202680%Hit
SOL ≥ $253 by 22 Sept 202670%Miss
BTC ≤ $40,000 by 2 Jun 202670%Hit
NVDA ≤ $84.60 by 5 Jul 202660%Hit
ETH ≤ $1,380 by 17 May 202670%Hit
LINK ≤ $10.30 by 20 Aug 202660%Hit
ETH ≥ $3,660 by 26 Jul 202670%Hit
TSLA ≤ $156 by 30 Jun 202660%Hit
TSLA ≥ $640 by 25 May 202670%Hit
ETH ≥ $3,800 by 25 Jul 202680%Hit
LINK ≥ $24.10 by 24 Jun 202670%Hit
DOGE ≤ $0.072 by 12 Jun 202660%Hit
TSLA ≥ $548 by 30 Jul 202680%Miss
SOL ≤ $70.40 by 20 Jun 202660%Miss
NVDA ≥ $257 by 22 May 202670%Miss
ETH ≤ $1,560 by 25 May 202670%Miss
ETH ≤ $828 by 3 Jul 202670%Hit
BTC ≥ $88,000 by 14 May 202670%Hit
NVDA ≤ $103 by 22 Apr 202670%Hit
ETH ≥ $3,770 by 8 May 202680%Hit
BTC ≤ $47,200 by 18 Apr 202660%Miss