@example_newcaller

New Caller (example) · provisional: fewer than 10 resolved calls

100%hit rate (6 of 6)

61%rank score (95% lower bound)

0.05Brier (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip)

−22 ptssays vs hits

Calibration

Each dot is a group of calls made at similar confidence; bigger dots hold more calls. On the dashed line, sounding 80% sure meant being right 80% of the time. Below it: overconfident.

By topic

Topic	Resolved	Hit rate	Brier
crypto	6	100%	0.05

Calls

Posted	Call	Sounded	Verdict
22 Oct 2026	ETH ≥ $2,690 by 16 Jan 2027	70%	Open
21 Oct 2026	ETH ≤ $713 by 19 Jan 2027	70%	Open
22 Sept 2026	DOGE ≥ $0.286 by 17 Oct 2026	80%	Hit
30 Jul 2026	ETH ≥ $3,400 by 17 Oct 2026	80%	Hit
18 Jul 2026	ETH ≥ $3,040 by 3 Oct 2026	80%	Hit
11 Apr 2026	ETH ≥ $2,530 by 2 Jun 2026	70%	Hit
2 Apr 2026	LINK ≥ $22.80 by 20 May 2026	80%	Hit
8 Dec 2025	ETH ≥ $3,800 by 11 Apr 2026	80%	Hit