MarkMyCall

@example_macromaven

Macro Maven (example)

55%hit rate (12 of 22)
35%rank score (95% lower bound)
0.33Brier (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip)
+20 ptssays vs hits

Calibration

0%50%100%50%75%100%how sure they soundedhow often it happened
Each dot is a group of calls made at similar confidence; bigger dots hold more calls. On the dashed line, sounding 80% sure meant being right 80% of the time. Below it: overconfident.

By topic

TopicResolvedHit rateBrier
equities1650%0.36
crypto667%0.25

Calls

PostedCallSoundedVerdict
LINK ≥ $18.80 by 20 Feb 202790%Open
NVDA ≥ $212 by 19 Feb 202760%Open
TSLA ≥ $440 by 26 Sept 202690%Miss
TSLA ≤ $340 by 8 Sept 202690%Miss
DOGE ≥ $0.268 by 2 Oct 202690%Miss
NVDA ≤ $139 by 25 Aug 202670%Miss
NVDA ≥ $203 by 14 Sept 202660%Hit
SOL ≤ $59.20 by 7 Aug 202680%Hit
NVDA ≥ $290 by 20 Aug 202680%Miss
DOGE ≥ $0.259 by 4 Jul 202660%Hit
LINK ≥ $16.50 by 17 Aug 202670%Hit
NVDA ≥ $283 by 19 Jun 202660%Miss
NVDA ≥ $272 by 29 Jun 202680%Hit
TSLA ≥ $600 by 16 Jul 202670%Hit
TSLA ≥ $532 by 20 Jun 202670%Hit
TSLA ≥ $544 by 21 Apr 202680%Miss
NVDA ≥ $211 by 21 Jul 202680%Miss
TSLA ≥ $600 by 22 May 202680%Hit
NVDA ≥ $290 by 24 Jun 202670%Hit
NVDA ≤ $115 by 8 Apr 202680%Miss
DOGE ≥ $0.22 by 25 May 202680%Hit
NVDA ≥ $286 by 12 May 202680%Hit
NVDA ≤ $99 by 15 Apr 202660%Hit
SOL ≥ $192 by 27 Apr 202660%Miss